Paul - Systems and Shadows

The great tech HOUSE OF CARDS.

April 6, 2025July 21, 2025Paul

Is Mark Spitznagel right? Will stocks drop 50%.

January 1, 2025January 1, 2025Paul

Spitznagel is, at least in my opinion, the closest thing to a genius we have in the financial world, which is why I heed his warning. To me, the question isn’t whether stocks will drop, but when. To see this, let’s go back to the last two crashes, which I and dozens of others not only […]

Economics does not exist.

December 31, 2024December 31, 2024Paul

Many years ago, an economist said, (paraphrase, I forgot his name) Mercantilism was an 18th century attempt to wrap an intellectual structure over what was essentially, chaos. Isn’t this what all global macro economists do? Spoiler alert: The economy doesn’t give a ***k about your theory. In fact, all sciences are in the same court. Their superhero skill […]

The EU’s eastern problem. (The end of the EU?)

December 25, 2024December 25, 2024Paul

Editors note: The satirical style of this essay is intentional. We believe the biggest issue in western politics is the deification of leaders, most of which are given powers they’ve never earned and placed on pedestals they don’t deserve. They’re every bit as bogus as the Oscars. The USSR isn’t simply going away. The EU […]

How to profit from fully grown babies.

December 16, 2024December 25, 2024Paul

Like it or not, this is your marketplace. Spoiler Alert: This post is intentionally satirical. The reason is the difficulty in accurately describing something as bizarre as human “logic.” If I took the edge off, it would come across as academic. But these ideas cannot be found in academia. They’re typically in fringe media and […]

The playing of Germany.

December 2, 2024December 3, 2024Paul

Spoiler alert: I do not believe in putting politicians on pedestals. If you think national figures are heroes, you should skip this article.) History (predictably) repeats. In 1915, the UK, alongside its allies, launched the Gallipoli Campaign against the Ottoman Empire to prevent a potential alliance between Germany and Russia, thereby opening a new front […]

Why startups fail right out of the gate.

November 27, 2024November 27, 2024Paul

(But the owners don’t realize it.) There is nothing we hate more than watching startups fail right out of the gate. In 25 years of watching these “gate crashers” all but a tiny few we knew were going to crash. Why didn’t we stop them? There is no stopping a person who believes he’s got […]

Propaganda is invisible. You have to WANT to see it.

November 27, 2024November 27, 2024Paul

It’s not hard to see… unless you’re intentionally blind. This is why Artificial Intelligence is so dangerous. “Trotter and Le Bon concluded that the group mind does not think in the strict sense of the word. In place of thoughts, it has impulses, habits, and emotions. In making up its mind, it’s first impulse is […]

Systems Engineering

November 15, 2024November 25, 2024Paul

Systems Engineering is a holistic, multidisciplinary engineering approach that focuses on the design, integration, and management of complex systems over their lifecycle. It’s about looking at the big picture to ensure that all components of a system work together efficiently to meet the required specifications and objectives. At its core, systems engineering addresses not just […]